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M$G$

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 25 August 2007, at 4:56 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Chuck Bower)

Money game, Blue holds cube:

Move number 5: Blue to play 64

White95


1O3X3X2X2X2X ' ' ' '1X '

3O5O2O3O '1O ' ' ' '1X '

Blue61

Position ID: 7rZBBED37QQAIA Match ID: UQkTAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0.1215
0.4137 0.1016 0.0007 - 0.5863 0.0508 0.0004
Cubeful equities:
1.No double -0.0074
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +1.0074
3.Double, take -0.6285 -0.6211
Proper cube action:No redouble, beaver (38.1%)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0.678)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/18 6/2 +0.6424
0.69130.12950.0008-0.30870.00850.0002 +0.5040 +0.6424
0.00180.00240.0001-0.00180.00050.0001 0.0034 0.0054
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1072035022 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/14* +0.5832 ( -0.0592)
0.67650.27580.0027-0.32350.08030.0028 +0.5485 +0.5832
0.00240.00290.0005-0.00240.00360.0005 0.0064 0.0082
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1072035022 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Money game, White enters with 6-1:

Move number 7: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White88


 '3X3X2X2X2X1O ' '1X ' '

3O6O2O3O '1X ' ' ' '1X '

Blue51

Position ID: 7rYhBAH32wGAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5544
0.7173 0.1313 0.0007 - 0.2827 0.0123 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.9657
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0343
3.No double +0.6763 -0.2893
Proper cube action:Redouble, take

Money game, White fans:

Move number 7: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White95


 '3X3X2X2X2X1O ' ' '1X '

3O6O2O3O ' ' ' ' ' '1X '

Blue51

Position ID: 7rZBBED32wGAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

Alert: wrong double ( -0.1038)! [very bad]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +1.0113
0.8608 0.2924 0.0021 - 0.1392 0.0047 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +1.1038
2.Double, take +1.9390 +0.8352
3.Double, pass +1.0000 -0.1038
Proper cube action:Too good to redouble, pass (11.1%)

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