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Stick, take a lesson

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 26 August 2007, at 6:35 a.m.

In Response To: Stick, take a lesson (Stick)

The error goes down, so in one (trivial) sense you know more than you did before you started the rollout. Specifically, you know what the 324-game rollout says. But if the JSD is low enough you can't say with any more confidence that extending the rollout will keep the play as best. In fact, you may become less confident in gnu's choice after seeing the rollout results than you were before starting the rollout. 3-to-2 odds aren't much better than a coin flip.

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