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RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 28 August 2007, at 3:00 p.m.

In Response To: Recent Major Tournament Tough One for the Wizards (Bill Riles)

Easier take than I expected, with over 39% wins.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 1, Blue 1 (match to 3 points)

Move number 3: Blue to play 12


 ' ' '2X4O4X3X3X ' ' ' '

 '2O '2O2O3O '1O1O ' '2X

Pip counts: White 128, Blue 137
Position ID: mHcHA0BmOwXAAw Match ID: cIloABAACAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.3014(Money: +0.3640)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.5935
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.4065
3.No double +0.5419 -0.0516
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.60500.24950.0090-0.39500.09770.0069 +0.3014 +0.5419
Standard error0.00100.00480.0014-0.00100.00360.0012 0.0030 0.0054
Player White owns 2-cube0.60770.26430.0109-0.39230.10180.0065 +0.5935 +0.5935
Standard error0.00110.00570.0015-0.00110.00390.0013 0.0061 0.0061
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2582 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1071996864 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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