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BGonline.org Forums
Estimate Winning Chances
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Estimate Winning Chances (Michael Nielsen)
Date: Wednesday, 24 August 2011, at 10:30 a.m.
After the 16 misses I will be up in the race with about 1-2 pips I would guess (since all the misses are quite a lot better than average).
You start out with a 20 pip lead. The average miss does not rate to be 55.
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