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Estimate Winning Chances

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 24 August 2011, at 11:30 a.m.

In Response To: Estimate Winning Chances (Michael Nielsen)

After the 16 misses I will be up in the race with about 1-2 pips I would guess (since all the misses are quite a lot better than average).

You start out with a 20 pip lead. The average miss does not rate to be 55.

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