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How do you compare to the Giants?

Posted By: Phil Simborg
Date: Tuesday, 10 January 2012, at 8:25 p.m.

In Response To: How do you compare to the Giants? (Casper van der Tak)

Bravo to Ben. Yes, many think you are "luckier" to get an opening 3-1 than an opening 2-1, but that is not true at all if, in the long run, you get both rolls an equal number of times and so does your opponent. So that's not luck, that's odds. What if you get an opening 3-1 four times in a row. Again, is that luck, or is that odds....some time in the future you might not see a 3-1 opening for a month! It evens out, as any logical, fair-minded person knows, but it ONLY evens out IN THE LONG RUN. People who only look at the short term are, well, short-sighted.

Ben's point is clear: the better you play the more good rolls you will have and the fewer good rolls your opponent gets, and assuming luck evens out in the long run, the better player will win.

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