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BGonline.org Forums
Some hard numbers
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: How do you compare to the Giants? (Phil Simborg)
Date: Saturday, 21 January 2012, at 3:37 p.m.
From "Rankings and Ratings" article I wrote 12+ years ago and still accessible to GammonU members (Sep 1999 issue):
The... data I have on Jellyfish play analyzed by Snowie is for the 54 (7-point) matches of a case study.
My record in the 54 7-point matches was 26 wins and 28 losses. According to Snowie analysis, my overall play error rate was 0.00833.... Jellyfish played extremely well according to Snowie: overall error rate was 0.00205. Snowie said I had more luck at the rate 0.00150.
Of the 54 matches, the luckier player won 52 and lost 2! Of my 26 wins, I was luckier than JF in all of the matches. For JF's 28 wins, it was luckier in 26 and I was luckier in 2.
Summary: (cubeless) Snowie error rates: 2.05 for JF, 8.33 for me. I had the better luck in 28 matches. JF won 2 of those.
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