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BGonline.org Forums
Correct Cube Play
Posted By: kruidenbuiltje In Response To: Correct Cube Play (RobertFontaine)
Date: Thursday, 23 February 2012, at 8:12 a.m.
46 - 50 is the Keith Count.
Both 46 pips is about 64% race chance Each pip-difference is 2% = 8% makes 72% White has a low variability, black's is high, this needs an adjusting (on average) of 1,5 pip = 3%
Making 75%.
So this is a borderline.
This is how far I would come over the board
Now we have to look closer at the position, the weird thing here is the relative high stack on the black 5-point, that is not taken into account.
In a pipple count this would be adjusted, so let's adjust it here:
When the stack was height 4 the difference would be 1,2 pipple = 0,012 roll = 0,098 pip = 0,196 %
Making 75,196%, adjustment to an even smoother position (stack of 3) would give 75,392%.
This last number gives 24,608% which is a pass.
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