Hitting the guard?! Amazing! I guess the tempo is crucial.
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 159 | | 3 point match | pip: 148
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-a-b-CD-BB---B-bad-e----AA:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:3:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24 6/1* | eq: +0.651 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.27% (G:19.79% B:0.88%)
36.73% (G:9.76% B:0.54%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 6/5 | eq: +0.512 (-0.140) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.02% (G:17.54% B:0.85%)
38.98% (G:11.22% B:0.47%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 24/23 | eq: +0.495 (-0.157) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.08% (G:16.75% B:0.84%)
38.92% (G:11.33% B:0.46%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 5/4 | eq: +0.471 (-0.181) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.52% (G:17.25% B:0.84%)
39.48% (G:12.26% B:0.65%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24 13/8 | eq: +0.439 (-0.213) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.97% (G:17.13% B:0.78%)
40.03% (G:11.15% B:0.60%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Variant:
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 159 | | 3 point match | pip: 148
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-a-b-CD-BB---B-bad-e----AA:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:3:10 |
| Blue to play 41 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24 5/1* | eq: +0.620 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.82% (G:19.27% B:0.83%)
37.18% (G:10.08% B:0.51%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 | eq: +0.544 (-0.076) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.67% (G:17.38% B:0.81%)
38.33% (G:10.90% B:0.45%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
I guess 22/21 6/1 isn't as suicidal as it looked to me at first glance since White doesn't have many attacking rolls that don't also destroy her prime.
     
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 119 | | 3 point match | pip: 140
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a-BBDBB------abbbcd-B-A-:1:1:1:51:0:0:0:3:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 22/21 6/1 | eq: -0.298 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 36.29% (G:8.97% B:0.45%)
63.71% (G:24.95% B:1.82%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 24/23 6/1 | eq: -0.306 (-0.008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.70% (G:7.46% B:0.27%)
66.30% (G:18.30% B:0.74%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 6/5 6/1 | eq: -0.326 (-0.028) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.05% (G:7.33% B:0.26%)
66.95% (G:18.43% B:0.75%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 8/2* | eq: -0.424 (-0.126) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.48% (G:7.16% B:0.28%)
69.52% (G:21.59% B:1.06%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 22/21 7/2* | eq: -0.437 (-0.140) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.83% (G:8.55% B:0.32%)
68.17% (G:26.91% B:3.32%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 7/2* 6/5 | eq: -0.478 (-0.180) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.65% (G:6.37% B:0.23%)
71.35% (G:22.01% B:1.16%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
  
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 149 | | 11 point match | pip: 166
score: 2
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a--aBBBAB---bB---dbeAAA-A-:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:11:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.61% (G: 23.10% B: 0.95%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.39% (G: 8.60% B: 0.43%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Double: | +0.464 |
| Double: | +0.905 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Double: | +0.661 |
| Double/Take: | +0.585 (-0.075) |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 (+0.339) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No Double / Take |
| |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
For money:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 149 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 166
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a--aBBBAB---bB---dbeAAA-A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.70% (G: 23.05% B: 0.91%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.30% (G: 8.53% B: 0.42%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Double: | +0.314 |
| Double: | +0.905 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Double: | +0.701 |
| Double/Take: | +0.667 (-0.034) |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 (+0.299) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No Double / Take |
| |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21