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How the #%!$@! is this a double?

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 9:41 a.m.

In Response To: How the #%!$@! is this a double? (rory)

White's current ME AtS is 40%. If she doesn't double and wins she'll tie the match with 50% MWC's for a gain of 10%. By doubling and winning, she'll go from 40% to 67% @ -1 -2 for a net gain of 27-10 = 17%. By not doubling and losing, she'll go from 40% to 25% @ -1 -3 for a loss of 15%. Her overall net gain by doubling is 17-15 = 2%. She can double as early as 17/(17+15), 53%.

NBM

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