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BGonline.org Forums
How the #%!$@! is this a double?
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: How the #%!$@! is this a double? (Mr Majestyk)
Date: Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 2:58 p.m.
She can double as early as 17/(17+15), 53%.
Shouldn't that be 24/(24+17) = 58.8% ?
The gain from winning 2 points instead of 1 is ~17% (17.68%) but the risk of losing 2 points instead of 1 is ~25% (24.88%), not 15%. Double win -> 67.68%, No double win -> 50%, Gain 17.68%. Double lose -> 0%, No double lose -> 24.88%, Risk 24.88%. R/(R+G) = 24.88/(24.88 + 17.68) = 24.88/42.56 = 58.45% Doubling Window bottom.
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