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RO: Bearing off against an deuce-point anchor

Posted By: David Levy
Date: Wednesday, 14 March 2012, at 3:20 p.m.

In Response To: Bearing off against an deuce-point anchor (David Levy)

Like me, some of you were debating between the 3rd and 4th best play. Clearing the four is correct and the unmentioned 5/4 5/1 is second.

PS: Are my rollout parameters too light to draw a conclusion? Suggestions welcome.





White is Alex7431

score: 2
pip: 112
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 60
score: 6

Blue is dlevy
XGID=-BbBBDD---------a-accbc---:0:0:1:41:6:2:1:7:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout14/3 4/Offeq: +0.745
Player:
Opponent:
87.25% (G:31.66% B:1.44%)
12.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.742...+0.747) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 59 seconds
2.Rollout15/4 5/1eq: +0.723 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
86.13% (G:25.06% B:0.79%)
13.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.720...+0.725) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout15/Offeq: +0.718 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
85.89% (G:29.80% B:1.27%)
14.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.003 (+0.715...+0.720) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 03 seconds
4.Rollout16/1eq: +0.702 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
85.08% (G:26.54% B:0.80%)
14.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.003 (+0.699...+0.704) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 41 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

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