Posted By: Maik Stiebler In Response To: Racing Redouble (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Tuesday, 20 March 2012, at 12:13 p.m.
In Response To: Racing Redouble (Daniel Murphy)
Because: with so many nonworking doublets, the underdog wins far less than often than in a 7-roll position.
It's simply because the favorite is a bit closer to a 7-roll position than the underdog is. In the following positon, the favorite's epc has been increased. It is still very slightly less (0.2 epc) than the underdog's, and yet the underdog wins slightly more than in a pure 8-roll vs. 8-roll position:
White is Player 2
5 point match pip: 41
Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBEABA------------bb-bf--:1:1:1:00:0:2:0:5:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller+ No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 66,33% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 66,30% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 33,67% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 33,70% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) Cubeless Equities +0,327 +0,987 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0,792 (-0,195) Redouble/Take: +0,987 Redouble/Pass: +1,000 (+0,013) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2
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