|
BGonline.org Forums
RO
Posted By: higonefive In Response To: Luckily i read the last post from Mr. Majestik... (higonefive)
Date: Saturday, 5 January 2013, at 8:13 a.m.
Having problems to guess the gammon rates, i was glad to remember Stick's 'gammons going through the roof'. My Opp took, insisting immediatley, that this was no double. I thought, that this was even a right technical double. XG said, that we need 9,2% wrong passes, to justify a double. And that is not so unlikely, that 1 out of 10 would pass this. I think, that is one of the reasons for Stick, to ship it. OtB i thought also, even if this is not a double, give him the chance to make a mistake.
White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 1607 point match pip: 142
score: 4
Blue is Player 1XGID=bB---BD-C---dA---c-db-AAA-:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 65,36% (G:45,51% B:0,76%) 65,21% (G:45,21% B:0,81%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34,64% (G:9,51% B:0,79%) 34,79% (G:8,88% B:1,12%) Cubeless Equities +0,983 +1,594 Cubeful Equities No double: +0,811 ±0,006 (+0,805..+0,817) Double/Take: +0,790 (-0,021) ±0,010 (+0,780..+0,800) Double/Pass: +1,000 (+0,189) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9,2% Rollout details 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100,0% Take Decision confidence: 100,0% Duration: 7 hours 08 minutes eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
|
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.