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31P-41S-61 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 15 March 2013, at 12:43 p.m.

In Response To: 3rd roll: 31P 51S 61: ? (Matt Cohn-Geier)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa--BD-B---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout124/18 6/5eq: +0.2245
Player:
Opponent:
55.32% (G:15.38% B:0.71%)
44.68% (G:12.30% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ±0.0079 (+0.2166...+0.2324) - [100.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout18/2* 2/1* eq: +0.1980 (-0.0265)
Player:
Opponent:
53.52% (G:20.80% B:0.83%)
46.48% (G:13.54% B:0.79%)
Conf.: ±0.0085 (+0.1895...+0.2064) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 30 seconds
3.Rollout124/23 24/18eq: +0.1663 (-0.0582)
Player:
Opponent:
54.25% (G:14.47% B:0.67%)
45.75% (G:12.79% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ±0.0074 (+0.1589...+0.1737) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 13 seconds
4.Rollout113/7 8/7eq: +0.1417 (-0.0828)
Player:
Opponent:
53.05% (G:17.04% B:0.78%)
46.95% (G:13.10% B:0.71%)
Conf.: ±0.0080 (+0.1337...+0.1497) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 31 seconds
5.Rollout113/6eq: +0.1261 (-0.0983)
Player:
Opponent:
52.71% (G:16.88% B:0.71%)
47.29% (G:13.40% B:0.62%)
Conf.: ±0.0078 (+0.1183...+0.1340) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 22 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89502711
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Mar-14
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
31P-41S-61-tm.xgp
[E K27 U58 P83 T98] "<=5
[E K5 U44 P67 T72] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

31P-41S-61 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 2-ply 1022062068 +217.3 [E K18 P70] /10*1 BgOnline.org
GnuBg 2-ply 1069105735 +228.9 [E K37] /5 Matt Cohn-Geier
GnuBg 2-ply Trunc 677856428 +173.435 [E K7 U53 P67 T73] /0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 89502711 +224.5 [E K27 U58 P83 T98] "<=5 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +202.3 [E K5 U44 P67 T72] "&e Taper_Mike
GnuBg 2-ply 1069407329 +255.234 [E K4] /1 Robert Koca

31P-41S-61 — Nactation Key
FamilyNactationTraditional NotationNote
EachE 24/18, 6/5
KillK 8/2*/1*
PointP 13/7, 8/7
sTack or TowerT 13/6
UpU 24/23, 24/18

A few cycles with XG2 did not change the main result here. Back in 2007, however, no one thought it worth checking that third-place U (Up) might be better than P (Point).

If you have a rollout of an early game position that you would like to share, please send it my way. I’ll include in the next distribution of my RolloutSummary, and give credit to you. Thanks.

Mike

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