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64S-11N-F-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 5:21 a.m.

In Response To: 64S-11N-F-C? (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BCBA---dE--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.37% (G:21.67% B:1.20%) 65.33% (G:23.00% B:1.31%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.63% (G:8.16% B:0.36%) 34.67% (G:8.35% B:0.38%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.451 +0.925
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.682±0.005 (+0.677..+0.687)
Double/Take:+0.658 (-0.025)±0.006 (+0.651..+0.664)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.318)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.7%
Rollout details
7887 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 97255743
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 days 03 hours 06 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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