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OLM Rollout from day's past

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 16 January 2007, at 9:32 a.m.

The readers had a 5-2 to play here and I was surprised how close the hit was. I felt since I had my five point made already it was more important to anchor up. It seems important early on when so far behind in the race to still fight for key points, to not allow me to play here and consolidate my advantage even more (by making the bar pt, 4 pt., or defensive bar pt.) and what's another man back to you? You've got 3 back to my 1 back, a 4th back may not be as detrimental as it seems, as long as it comes in making an advanced anchor.

Money Game
149
176
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/22 13/8 -0.598
0.2% 7.2% 33.8% 66.2% 15.1% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.406 0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 166141 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/8 6/4* -0.604 (-0.006)
0.4% 9.0% 36.6% 63.4% 22.4% 2.2%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.421 0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 129795 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

 

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