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Re: Redouble or Not - posted by Madnesz

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Thursday, 18 January 2007, at 10:46 a.m.

In Response To: Redouble or Not - posted by Madnesz (Stick)

All rolls play safely next turn. Blue has a four-pip lead in the race, good for about 60% wins. A hit gains 8 pips - enough to make the position a race pass without factoring in that White is on the bar, etc.

Blue's 11 hit and cover rolls (11 22 33 24 26 34 36) pretty much win with the cube. I'll give White 1/10 wins for the return hits.

21 and 31 hit and lift. 21 offers 7 returns, 31 has 5. Give White 0.5 wins.

That leaves 21 non-hitters, so giving White 40% of these race-types is 8.5 wins.

Add them all up and White has 10 wins, cubeful. Looks like Double/Take to me. How'd I do?

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