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A made-up game to illustrate some points about skill and luck

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2015, at 2:06 a.m.

In Response To: A made-up game to illustrate some points about skill and luck (Timothy Chow)

As I think you're aware, [your definition] doesn't capture all the luck in backgammon, since it doesn't capture what you're calling the "luck" involved in making a checker-play or cube decision.

Yes, I think it is better to explicitly state you are not trying to capture all the luck of backgammon. Just focus on the luck associated with the dice. That way, there is no confusion.

Do you think that chess has luck in it?

Yes.

Can you give any example of a "pure skill" task that is not, in effect, a deterministic "measurement"?

No. That's why I liked sita's simplification of your game. It makes it clear there is no luck in the "skill" part of the game.

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