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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 18 October 2006, at 4:58 a.m.

In Response To: 52S-55A-5X-C? (Stick)

Definitely a cube here, the Gs are too high and white's blot pushed that far forward is under a lot more pressure. Also, if it gets hit it's on the next point blue would like to make. It's true that "in a true blitz all inner board points have approx. the same value" but if you had the choice, you'd still rather make the 5 before the 4, the 4 before the...you get the idea.

Money Game
Cube Action?
159
147
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.452
0.5% 31.6% 61.7% 38.3% 9.7% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.452 ±0.012. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 52129 games), played 3-ply (precise), seed 1, with race database.
1. Double, take 0.624
2. No double 0.594 (-0.030)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.376)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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