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Redouble to 4, 10-1 to 15 against Sean --- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Wednesday, 5 August 2015, at 6:10 p.m.

In Response To: Redouble to 4, 10-1 to 15 against Sean --- POSITION (Petter Bengtsson)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 59
15 point match
pip: 94
score: 10

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aBBBBCAB-A---------dcdc-:1:1:1:00:10:1:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 87,27% (G:3,28% B:0,06%) 87,91% (G:2,82% B:0,05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 12,73% (G:1,03% B:0,00%) 12,09% (G:0,88% B:0,01%)
Cubeless Equities +0,757 +1,236
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0,887±0,001 (+0,886..+0,888)
Redouble/Take:+0,857 (-0,030)±0,014 (+0,843..+0,872)
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (+0,113)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 17,4%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 9 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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