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62S-55A-F-C – Jacoby, no beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 30 August 2015, at 9:26 p.m.

In Response To: 52S-55-F-C? (Grigorij Liev)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-B--CaA---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.718% (G:38.148% B:1.238%) 66.181% (G:39.389% B:1.278%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.282% (G:7.701% B:0.383%) 33.819% (G:7.823% B:0.381%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.6274 +1.2965
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.7807 (-0.2193)±0.0040 (+0.7766..+0.7847)
Double/Take:+1.0259 (+0.0259)±0.0068 (+1.0191..+1.0327)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42060932
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 43 minutes 52 seconds

Rollout by Igor Erovenko
2013-Mar-03
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
62S-55A-F-C-j-ie.xgp
[D 1026-245] "<=10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

62S-55A-F-C — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
XG 2.xx 3-ply 1 +1000.0 [D 1023–244] "<5 Dmitriy Obukhov
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 42060932 +1000.0 j[D 1026–245] "<=10 Igor Erovenko

Attack of the necro-thread! Glad these old ones are still getting attention. For the most part, the info is just as valid today.

I think REW was referring to a 6x-split on the opening roll. The rollout above, for instance, features 62-split on the opening roll. Taking costs you only 0.026 in equity.

Mike

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