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Rollout: 7a3a recube action

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 22 November 2015, at 10:37 p.m.

In Response To: 7a3a recube action (Timothy Chow)

I redoubled here but the computer doesn't think it's quite justified.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 30
7 point match
pip: 86
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBCCBB-----------aabcAb-:1:1:1:00:0:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 44.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 45.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 55.74% (G:3.90% B:0.09%) 54.47% (G:14.14% B:1.03%)
Cubeless Equities -0.143 +0.041
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.121±0.001 (+0.120..+0.122)
Redouble/Take:+0.041 (-0.081)±0.005 (+0.035..+0.046)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.879)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.8%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 00 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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