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RO: Balancing risk vs Opp's 5-point board

Posted By: David Levy
Date: Wednesday, 8 March 2017, at 9:26 p.m.

In Response To: Balancing risk vs Opp's 5-point board (hominid)

My longer, but shallower rollout with a similar result. And frankly I don't understand how to find this OTB. Crawford or not. Though absent Crawford, the cube would be been turned months ago.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 113
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 85
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BbCB-CC---Ab---A--bbbbba-:0:0:1:62:6:4:1:7:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout116/10 11/9eq: +0.368
Player:
Opponent:
68.66% (G:8.18% B:0.21%)
31.34% (G:5.81% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.367...+0.369) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 42 seconds
2.Rollout111/5 7/5eq: +0.342 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
67.24% (G:14.39% B:0.99%)
32.76% (G:2.19% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.341...+0.343) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 44 seconds
3.Rollout116/10 6/4eq: +0.337 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
67.13% (G:7.47% B:0.15%)
32.87% (G:5.65% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.336...+0.338) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
4.Rollout116/10 3/1eq: +0.336 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
67.05% (G:7.01% B:0.15%)
32.95% (G:5.69% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.334...+0.337) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 24 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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