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Rollout result posted, and VARIANTS
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: Rollout result posted (Paul Weaver)
Date: Saturday, 5 August 2017, at 6:54 p.m.
White is Nevzat
score: 11
pip: 12217 point match pip: 110
score: 12
Blue is PetkoXGID=--CBaBC-A---bB---dBdca----:0:0:1:00:12:11:0:17:10 Original position
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 64.21% (G:22.90% B:0.30%) 64.44% (G:23.20% B:0.37%) Opponent Winning Chances: 35.79% (G:8.59% B:0.41%) 35.56% (G:8.78% B:0.56%) Cubeless Equities +0.410 +0.874 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.497 (-0.069) ±0.005 (+0.492..+0.502) Double/Take: +0.566 ±0.007 (+0.559..+0.573) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.434) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 25 minutes 31 seconds
Paul's rollout result of the Petko-Nevzat position appears above. Double / Take.Two variants appear below. The first is No double, the second is Pass.
Nack
White is Player 2
score: 11
pip: 12217 point match pip: 112
score: 12
Blue is Player 1XGID=--CBaBB-B---bB---dBdca----:0:0:1:00:12:11:0:17:10 Variant 1 (Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted 6/8)
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 61.72% (G:18.61% B:0.26%) 61.94% (G:19.07% B:0.37%) Opponent Winning Chances: 38.28% (G:8.99% B:0.39%) 38.06% (G:9.03% B:0.57%) Cubeless Equities +0.315 +0.665 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.395 ±0.009 (+0.386..+0.404) Double/Take: +0.335 (-0.060) ±0.021 (+0.314..+0.356) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.605) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 8.3% Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70354995
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds
White is Player 2
score: 11
pip: 12217 point match pip: 113
score: 12
Blue is Player 1XGID=--BBaCC-A---bB---dBdca----:0:0:1:00:12:11:0:17:10 Variant 2 (Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted 2/5)
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 70.08% (G:28.93% B:0.33%) 70.33% (G:29.13% B:0.41%) Opponent Winning Chances: 29.92% (G:7.21% B:0.34%) 29.67% (G:7.68% B:0.51%) Cubeless Equities +0.601 +1.286 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.685 (-0.315) ±0.004 (+0.681..+0.689) Double/Take: +1.026 (+0.026) ±0.007 (+1.019..+1.033) Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70354995
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 22 minutes 43 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
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