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Your Thoughts Please

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 16 August 2017, at 8:30 p.m.

In Response To: Your Thoughts Please (Chris Bray)

I've long wondered if sometimes "sandbagging" a play to improve the cube efficiency might be right in some positions, and this looks like two clear examples.

Of course, they only arose after botched cube decisions and if the cube is in the wrong place then it's not a "normal" position.

I"ve included XGR++ results below for the cube decisions, and the missed cubes are whoppers. I'm wondering if there might be examples with optimal or near optimal play.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 75
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 75
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBaCC---C-a-------ccbcb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.95% (G:5.47% B:0.04%) 81.38% (G:5.90% B:0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.05% (G:0.46% B:0.00%) 18.62% (G:0.75% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.669 +1.359
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.749 (-0.251)
Double/Take:+1.249 (+0.249)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 73
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BaDCAB-BA-----a---abbcbc-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.85% (G:1.54% B:0.02%) 74.40% (G:2.32% B:0.03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.15% (G:1.23% B:0.03%) 25.60% (G:2.46% B:0.06%)
Cubeless Equities +0.480 +0.973
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.698 (-0.149)
xg Double/Take:+0.847
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.153)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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