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BGonline.org Forums
Your Thoughts Please
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: Your Thoughts Please (Chris Bray)
Date: Wednesday, 16 August 2017, at 8:30 p.m.
I've long wondered if sometimes "sandbagging" a play to improve the cube efficiency might be right in some positions, and this looks like two clear examples.
Of course, they only arose after botched cube decisions and if the cube is in the wrong place then it's not a "normal" position.
I"ve included XGR++ results below for the cube decisions, and the missed cubes are whoppers. I'm wondering if there might be examples with optimal or near optimal play.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 75Unlimited Game
Jacobypip: 75
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-BBBaCC---C-a-------ccbcb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 80.95% (G:5.47% B:0.04%) 81.38% (G:5.90% B:0.04%) Opponent Winning Chances: 19.05% (G:0.46% B:0.00%) 18.62% (G:0.75% B:0.01%) Cubeless Equities +0.669 +1.359 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.749 (-0.251) Double/Take: +1.249 (+0.249) Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 73Unlimited Game
Jacobypip: 68
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-BaDCAB-BA-----a---abbcbc-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 73.85% (G:1.54% B:0.02%) 74.40% (G:2.32% B:0.03%) Opponent Winning Chances: 26.15% (G:1.23% B:0.03%) 25.60% (G:2.46% B:0.06%) Cubeless Equities +0.480 +0.973 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.698 (-0.149) Double/Take: +0.847 Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.153) Best Cube action: Double / Take eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
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