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Rollout (original position) plus VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 5 September 2017, at 6:27 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (original position) (Ian Dunstan)

		White is Player 2 score: 8 pip: 135 29 point match pip: 141 score: 11 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBDBb-b-B-C----bcB-cb--:0:0:1:53:11:8:0:29:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	13/8 11/8	eq: +0.359
	Player: Opponent: 57.55% (G:21.69% B:0.90%) 42.45% (G:10.15% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.345...+0.373) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds
2.	Rollout1	11/3*	eq: +0.305 (-0.054)
	Player: Opponent: 56.61% (G:22.09% B:0.82%) 43.39% (G:12.51% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.290...+0.320) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: +0.303 (-0.056)
	Player: Opponent: 57.07% (G:18.30% B:0.67%) 42.93% (G:9.48% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.290...+0.317) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 08 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 70506939 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is my rollout of Ian's original position. (Combining in his 648 trials gives an 1844-trial result of [P T48 H49].)

Below is a subtle variant. White's 3pt spare is nudged to her 2pt.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 8 pip: 134 29 point match pip: 141 score: 11 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBDBb-b-B-C----bcB-bc--:0:0:1:53:11:8:0:29:10
Variant (White's spare is moved from her 3pt to her 2pt)

1.	Rollout1	11/3*	eq: +0.352
	Player: Opponent: 57.52% (G:22.76% B:0.89%) 42.48% (G:12.73% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.343...+0.360) - [91.8%] Duration: 13 minutes 47 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/8 11/8	eq: +0.344 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 57.45% (G:21.65% B:0.91%) 42.55% (G:10.32% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.337...+0.351) - [8.2%] Duration: 13 minutes 43 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: +0.332 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 57.59% (G:19.00% B:0.66%) 42.41% (G:9.43% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.325...+0.339) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 25 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 70506927 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Three plays, what is right?
  Ian Dunstan -- Monday, 4 September 2017, at 9:50 a.m.
  • Three plays, what is right?
    Michael -- Monday, 4 September 2017, at 11:27 a.m.
  • Three plays, what is right?
    scotty -- Monday, 4 September 2017, at 11:47 a.m.
  • Three plays, what is right?
    JohnK -- Monday, 4 September 2017, at 1:31 p.m.
  • Three plays, what is right? (variation)
    Ian Dunstan -- Tuesday, 5 September 2017, at 5:32 a.m.
    • Three plays, what is right? (variation)
      Ian Dunstan -- Friday, 8 September 2017, at 11:43 p.m.
  • Rollout (original position)
    Ian Dunstan -- Tuesday, 5 September 2017, at 7:07 a.m.
    • Rollout (original position)
      Ian Dunstan -- Tuesday, 5 September 2017, at 7:13 a.m.
    • Rollout (original position) plus VARIANT
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 5 September 2017, at 6:27 p.m.
      • Rollout (original position) plus VARIANT
        Ian Dunstan -- Friday, 8 September 2017, at 9:45 a.m.