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Lot of options -- cute VARIANT -- ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 13 February 2018, at 8:23 a.m.

In Response To: Lot of options -- cute VARIANT (Nack Ballard)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 82
1 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABbBBBbBB--B-----------b-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10

3-ply rollout


1.Rollout112/11 4/2eq: +0.375
Player:
Opponent:
68.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.26% (G:4.90% B:0.67%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.368...+0.381) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 48 seconds
2.Rollout112/10 2/1eq: +0.354 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
67.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
32.32% (G:2.87% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.348...+0.359) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 27 seconds
3.Rollout112/11 12/10eq: +0.342 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:
67.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
32.90% (G:3.23% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.337...+0.347) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout14/1eq: +0.327 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
66.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
33.63% (G:3.02% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.322...+0.333) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 07 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 88903084
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Above is a 3-ply rollout.
12/11 4/2 wins the day.

Below is a 4-ply rollout and an XGR+ rollout.
12/11 4/2 still comes out on top but by smaller margins.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 82
1 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABbBBBbBB--B-----------b-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10

4-ply rollout


1.Rollout112/11 4/2eq: +0.370
Player:
Opponent:
68.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.49% (G:3.73% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.366...+0.375) - [95.8%]
Duration: 1 hour 09 minutes
2.Rollout112/10 2/1eq: +0.365 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
68.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.74% (G:2.82% B:0.31%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.361...+0.369) - [4.2%]
Duration: 46 minutes 54 seconds
3.Rollout112/11 12/10eq: +0.358 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
67.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
32.09% (G:2.81% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.354...+0.362) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 26 seconds
4.Rollout14/1eq: +0.341 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
67.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
32.95% (G:2.57% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.337...+0.345) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43 minutes 18 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56966035
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 82
1 point match
pip: 93
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABbBBBbBB--B-----------b-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10

XGR+ rollout


1.Rollout112/11 4/2eq: +0.392
Player:
Opponent:
69.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.42% (G:5.13% B:0.95%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.387...+0.396) - [99.9%]
Duration: 7 hours 31 minutes
2.Rollout112/10 2/1eq: +0.382 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
69.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
30.90% (G:3.32% B:0.41%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.378...+0.386) - [0.1%]
Duration: 4 hours 49 minutes
3.Rollout112/11 12/10eq: +0.371 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
68.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
31.46% (G:3.66% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.367...+0.375) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 10 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1666395
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+

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