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BGonline.org Forums
Tough 4-cube at 5a-5a. Should I stay or should I go?
Posted By: Michael In Response To: Tough 4-cube at 5a-5a. Should I stay or should I go? (Karol Szczerek)
Date: Tuesday, 6 March 2018, at 2:07 p.m.
BP's good numbers are 1s and 6s. I suppose 6s give TP about 25% wins on average (those which hit give maybe 20% and the other ones maybe 30%). I suppose 1s give TP about 35% on average. I'd settle for about 30% on average for those 20 rolls. For the other rolls I'd give TP maybe 15% more, so about 45% on average. That sums up to about 37%. BP wins a lot of gammons, maybe 1/2 of his wins or even more while TP wins not much, maybe 1/5-1/6 of his wins.
So I'd put BP on 63%/30% (wins/gammons) while TP on 37%/6%.
I was impressed by the way you estimated it.
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