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New standard method for resolving 3-way ties on the ABT

Posted By: Sean Garber
Date: Monday, 2 July 2018, at 3:44 a.m.

In Response To: New standard method for resolving 3-way ties on the ABT (Rich Munitz)

Let us say that 23 players get into an Amateur Jackpot at an ABT event. The director decides to draw one first round bye and divide players into 3 groups of 7, 8, and 8, then settle the tournament with the new ABT 3-way tie method. That first round bye, at the time of the first round draw, would be worth about 4% in tournament winning chances. Let us fast forward to now, time to draw the final 3. The player with the first round bye has survived. How much is that first round bye worth now? The bye player has won two matches but would have had to win one more if he had not received that bye. 16.7% to 33.3%, so the bye is worth about 17% in tournament winning chances right now at the time of the final 3 draw, not 4%.

I don't believe Rich's "The absolute value of a conventional semi-final round bye into the finals in terms of the number of ABT points or dollars of prize pool equity the bye conveys to the player receiving it dwarfs first round byes by an order of magnitude" is the proper way of looking at this. Byes in any round should be given equal consideration.

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