Among the rollouts I'm extending just thought I'd share an example of why a certain number of trials isn't enough and you should really aim for (at least) that 3 JSD mark when possible.
# | Ply | Move | Equity |
| 1 | R | 24/21 13/11 | -0.1575 |
| 0.4678 | 0.1182 | 0.0057 | - | 0.5322 | 0.1722 | 0.0079 | -0.1205 | -0.1575 | 0.0008 | 0.0008 | 0.0003 | - | 0.0008 | 0.0009 | 0.0003 | 0.0022 | 0.0060 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| 2 | R | 13/11 8/5 | -0.1664 ( -0.0088) |
| 0.4645 | 0.1312 | 0.0056 | - | 0.5355 | 0.1762 | 0.0120 | -0.1224 | -0.1664 | 0.0009 | 0.0009 | 0.0002 | - | 0.0009 | 0.0010 | 0.0005 | 0.0025 | 0.0065 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| 3 | R | 13/10 6/4 | -0.1733 ( -0.0158) |
| 0.4652 | 0.1285 | 0.0059 | - | 0.5348 | 0.1796 | 0.0132 | -0.1282 | -0.1733 | 0.0011 | 0.0009 | 0.0003 | - | 0.0011 | 0.0011 | 0.0005 | 0.0031 | 0.0079 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
• | 4 | R | 13/11 13/10 | -0.1779 ( -0.0204) |
| 0.4619 | 0.1346 | 0.0063 | - | 0.5381 | 0.1712 | 0.0113 | -0.1179 | -0.1779 | 0.0009 | 0.0008 | 0.0003 | - | 0.0009 | 0.0010 | 0.0004 | 0.0023 | 0.0060 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| 5 | R | 24/22 13/10 | -0.1948 ( -0.0373) |
| 0.4587 | 0.1206 | 0.0053 | - | 0.5413 | 0.1731 | 0.0081 | -0.1379 | -0.1948 | 0.0008 | 0.0008 | 0.0004 | - | 0.0008 | 0.0009 | 0.0003 | 0.0021 | 0.0060 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857688062 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
# | Ply | Move | Equity |
• | 1 | R | 13/11 13/10 | -0.1598 |
| 0.4634 | 0.1344 | 0.0062 | - | 0.5366 | 0.1696 | 0.0108 | -0.1130 | -0.1598 | 0.0006 | 0.0006 | 0.0002 | - | 0.0006 | 0.0007 | 0.0003 | 0.0016 | 0.0043 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| 2 | R | 24/21 13/11 | -0.1687 ( -0.0089) |
| 0.4655 | 0.1190 | 0.0055 | - | 0.5345 | 0.1716 | 0.0078 | -0.1241 | -0.1687 | 0.0006 | 0.0006 | 0.0002 | - | 0.0006 | 0.0007 | 0.0002 | 0.0015 | 0.0039 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| 3 | R | 13/11 8/5 | -0.1713 ( -0.0115) |
| 0.4644 | 0.1310 | 0.0052 | - | 0.5356 | 0.1772 | 0.0131 | -0.1253 | -0.1713 | 0.0007 | 0.0006 | 0.0002 | - | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0003 | 0.0019 | 0.0050 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| 4 | R | 24/22 13/10 | -0.1909 ( -0.0311) |
| 0.4595 | 0.1229 | 0.0062 | - | 0.5405 | 0.1759 | 0.0078 | -0.1356 | -0.1909 | 0.0017 | 0.0016 | 0.0004 | - | 0.0017 | 0.0018 | 0.0005 | 0.0042 | 0.0108 | | |
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1035360852 and quasi-random dice | |
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | |
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |