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BGonline.org Forums
How to not beat Neil Kazaross (Some cube experiences from today)
Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 4 July 2009, at 10:48 p.m.
Today so far has been a good day in the Conso in Novi. I didn't get a bye and have won four matches and need to win 3 more to cash.
It seems that most of my opps want to play with me holding the cube. In the last match this was true to great extent. In game 1 my opp cubed me too soon, and I turned it around and then thru a joker 55 and played on for the G which he saved with boxes. In game 2, when he cubed the only question I'd have had if playing for money would have been whether to beaver. I turned the game around and was playing for the G for a long time and then a sudden accident happened but my opp couldn't roll enough 6's to hop so I recubed here and he took this 1.32 pass and was G'd.
When someone throws a W/C player a very easy take when he has an anchor and there's complicated contact (ie the doubler has back checker(s) also. He is putting said W/C player under little pressure and forcing himself to play the checkers and likely make considerably more errors than the W/C does in finishing the game.
I hope more of my opps cube me early and take recubes like this. This is when I want to recube when I am the stronger player and leading in the match...ie when my opp is screwed.
The score (after 0 games) is: opp 0, neilkaz 2 (match to 9 points)
Move number 5: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: opp 81, neilkaz 102
Position ID: b28BADB2dwMAYA Match ID: UQkgAQAAEAAA
• neilkaz doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.8427 (Money: +0.8517) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.3242 +0.3242 3. No double +0.9838 -0.0162 Proper cube action: Redouble, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player neilkaz owns 2-cube 0.8137 0.2320 0.0108 - 0.1863 0.0184 0.0001 +0.8427 +0.9838 Standard error 0.0012 0.0019 0.0007 - 0.0012 0.0006 0.0001 0.0033 0.0044 Player opp owns 4-cube 0.8192 0.2383 0.0417 - 0.1808 0.0169 0.0001 +1.5564 +1.3242 Standard error 0.0014 0.0025 0.0035 - 0.0014 0.0007 0.0000 0.0066 0.0094 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 862309952 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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