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BGonline.org Forums
eXtreme Gammon cube rollouts
Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Sunday, 12 July 2009, at 5:31 p.m.
A cube rollout gives a result like:
Analyzed in Rollout Player Winning Chances: 66.65% (G: 21.69% B: 1.81%) Opponent Winning Chances: 33.35% (G: 7.72% B: 0.34%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.482, Double=+1.026
Cubefull Equities:
No Double: +0.752 (-0.022)
Double/Take: +0.774
Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.226)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Confidence No Double: ± 0.029 (+0.723
Double Decision confidence: 84.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 54 minutes 39 seconds
From the fact that there are no different figures for wins, gammons etc. dependent on the position of the cube, I deduce that it must make the same move regardless of if the cube was just turned or a cube protection play is in order. Can anyone confirm that?
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