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Rollouts for Dummies

Posted By: Seth
Date: Thursday, 23 July 2009, at 9:17 p.m.

I'm going to present a sample case of 2 candidate plays just to explore the concepts in a rollout.Hopefully, some of the explanations will clarify things for me, and , perhaps some of the other intermediate players +. In a money game,for example, I opened game with 5/3- 8/3 6/3; gnu played 61- 8/7 13/7 .. i rolled 43 next and played 13/10 13/9. ( not really interested in why play #1 is better than play #2).

gnu liked 24/21 13/9-3ply analysis -0.33 difference in 2 plays.

ok, so , i reset rollout to truncated, 108, 7 for a quick rollout as suggested by Rich M.

Going to show the #'s I got bc I want to learn and understand it..

24/21 13/9 trials w w(g) w(bg) l(g) l(bg) cubeless cubeful rank/no jsd's

108 .486 .151 .007 .151 .007 -.028 .041 1 1r

stand error .001 .002 .000 .002 .000 ..004 .007

13/10 13/9 108 .471 .162 .009 .154 .008 -050 .-.083 2r

stand error .002 .002 .000 .002 .000 .005 .008 3.769

So, I'm assuming r1 and r2 are ranks of play...

If I understood Rich correctly, the rollout shows same direction as 3 ply- so, I'd conclude #1 was the better play and learn from it.. right?

The3.769 is that jsd? and, since over 3.00 it"s good or valid? and ,if under a 3.00 must do a full rollout?

What do the cubeless and cubeful equities mean? My play had cubeful equity of -0.083.. What does that mean?

Rollout Dummy thanks all,

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