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Gnubg odd/even effect extreme example ?

Posted By: MaX
Date: Friday, 21 August 2009, at 2:19 p.m.

In Response To: Why do bots have an even/odd effect? (Tom Keith)

X is closed out. Evaluating 0ply with O on roll gives O 76.8% GWC while evaluating with X on roll gives X 12.6% (hence 87.4% for O). As stated by Tom, chequer play may be unaffected, but cube decisions are and different plies give very different results for the doubling decision for white: swings a lot from marginal take to huge pass across odd/even plies.

    GNU Backgammon  Position ID: DwAAsN22AYgAAA
                    Match ID   : MAHgAAAAAAAA
    +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+  O: gnubg
    | O  O  O  O  O  O |   |                  |  0 points
    | O  O  O  O  O  O |   |                  |  On roll
    |    O             |   |                  |  
    |                  |   |                  |  
    |                  |   |                  |  
    |                  |BAR|                  |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1)
  X |                  |   |                  |  
 XX | X                |   |                  |  
 XX | X                |   |                  |  
 XX | X                | X |                  |  
 XX | X              O | X |       O          |  0 points
    +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+  X: MaX

O on roll:
Position ID: DwAAsN22AYgAAA
Match ID: MAHgAAAAAAAA
Evaluator:  Crashed
        Win     W(g)    W(bg)   L(g)    L(bg)   Equity    Cubeful  
static:  76.8     0.0     0.0     0.1     0.0    +0.534    +0.785   
 1 ply:  88.0     0.0     0.0     0.1     0.0    +0.759    +0.923   
 2 ply:  79.7     0.0     0.0     0.1     0.0    +0.593    +0.999   
 3 ply:  87.7     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0    +0.754    +1.000   
 4 ply:  82.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0    +0.639    +1.000   

 
X on roll:
Position ID: u20DEAEPAAAwAA
Match ID: cAngAAAAAAAA
Evaluator:  Crashed
        Win     W(g)    W(bg)   L(g)    L(bg)   Equity    Cubeful  
static:  12.6     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.746    -0.919   
 1 ply:  23.2     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.534    -0.930   
 2 ply:  12.0     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.759    -1.000   
 3 ply:  20.3     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.593    -1.000   
 4 ply:  12.3     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.754    -1.000   

Similar, with O's board not closed, problem is still there:

    GNU Backgammon  Position ID: DwAAMLvtAogAAA
                    Match ID   : MAHgAAAAAAAA
    +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+  O: gnubg
    |    O  O  O  O  O |   | O                |  0 points
    |    O  O  O  O  O |   |                  |  On roll
    |       O        O |   |                  |  
    |                  |   |                  |  
    |                  |   |                  |  
    |                  |BAR|                  |^ 7 point match (Cube: 1)
  X |                  |   |                  |  
 XX | X                |   |                  |  
 XX | X                |   |                  |  
 XX | X                | X |                  |  
 XX | X              O | X |       O          |  0 points
    +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+  X: MaX

O on roll:
Position ID: DwAAMLvtAogAAA
Match ID: MAHgAAAAAAAA
Evaluator:  Crashed
        Win     W(g)    W(bg)   L(g)    L(bg)   Equity    Cubeful  
static:  73.6     0.0     0.0     0.3     0.0    +0.469    +0.691   
 1 ply:  86.5     0.0     0.0     0.3     0.0    +0.726    +0.912   
 2 ply:  75.5     0.0     0.0     0.2     0.0    +0.507    +0.861   
 3 ply:  86.6     0.0     0.0     0.4     0.0    +0.727    +0.989   
 4 ply:  77.3     0.0     0.0     0.3     0.0    +0.543    +0.928  
 

X on roll: 
Position ID: dtsFEAEPAAAwAA
Match ID: cAngAAAAAAAA
Evaluator:  Crashed
        Win     W(g)    W(bg)   L(g)    L(bg)   Equity    Cubeful  
static:  14.9     0.5     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.697    -0.903   
 1 ply:  27.1     0.4     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.453    -0.744   
 2 ply:  14.2     0.5     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.710    -0.987   
 3 ply:  25.4     0.4     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.489    -0.829   
 4 ply:  14.0     0.5     0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.715    -0.988   

I'm wondering if other bots have the same issue at 0ply ... Anyone with Snowie/XG/BGB ?

MaX.

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