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BGonline.org Forums
More -3 -5 cube action RO
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: More -3 -5 cube action (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Sunday, 27 September 2009, at 6:49 a.m.
My thoughts were that this was a pass for money but a borderline take at the score. Still seems reasonable as it is TCTC after 5184.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 4, Blue 2 (match to 7 points)
Move number 2: White on roll, cube decision?
White 153
Blue 170 Position ID: wXPwAEbY5uAEFA Match ID: MAHgAEAAEAAA
• White doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.6529 (Money: +0.7068) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.0102 +0.0102 3. No double +0.9572 -0.0428 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7410 0.2383 0.0341 - 0.2590 0.0454 0.0021 +0.6529 +0.9572 Standard error 0.0014 0.0022 0.0019 - 0.0014 0.0006 0.0003 0.0041 0.0113 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.7360 0.2989 0.0665 - 0.2640 0.0455 0.0031 +1.4158 +1.0102 Standard error 0.0021 0.0031 0.0027 - 0.0021 0.0010 0.0004 0.0122 0.0171 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 865566790 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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