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An Open Letter to SHG Players

Posted By: Michael Petch
Date: Monday, 19 October 2009, at 10:08 a.m.

In Response To: An Open Letter to SHG Players (W Womack)

I have enough data from .32 and .33 (Releases of code after October 13th) to conclude there are problems. .28 which was tested between October 3rd and 13th looked good (Doubles/short sequences within norms), coming off the bar against an n-point board look correct.

I am working with Jim to provide my analysis and methodologies (at his request) to determine if there is a problem in .32 and .33(.33 is currently deployed). I am convinced there is an issue at this point but the problem isn't the same one we observed prior to October 3rd (The original code with doubles bein 9.2%). I sent Neil Kaz preliminary data on 52,189 rolls and asked for his opinion (I Already had one) where doubles were around 15.3%. Assuming no bug in my analysis/data, the chances of an extinction level event this week are greater than this data being random.

Unfortunately I took the weekend off (mostly) and didn't devote it to dice analysis and collection. Hopefully I will have the data Jim needs in his hands today (Monday).

I am not a statisticin by trade but I know enough to be dangerous.

I want what is best for SHG, fair and reasonably random dice are all I ask. If Jim went back to version .28 (for dice generation) I would be a happy camper.

I realize for Jim this is much harder. He has rooms (players and hosts) up in arms. Personally, I'd rather be damned for doing the right thing than damned for doing thwe wrong thing and someone finding out later.

Michael

Messages In This Thread

• An Open Letter to SHG Players
  W Womack -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 8:55 a.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Michael Petch -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 10:08 a.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players - Up to version .34 in past 2 hours
      Michael Petch -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 2:32 p.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Havard Raddum -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 10:44 a.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players
      Michael Petch -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 11:32 a.m.
      • An Open Letter to SHG Players
        Neil Robins -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 12:14 p.m.
        • An Open Letter to SHG Players
          W Womack -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 1:56 p.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Phil Simborg -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 1:13 p.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Jason Lee -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 5:55 p.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 10:22 p.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players
      Jason Lee -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 10:47 p.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players
      W Womack -- Monday, 19 October 2009, at 11:52 p.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 2:54 a.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players
      W Womack -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 4:37 a.m.
      • An Open Letter to SHG Players
        Frank_N_Stein -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 6:25 p.m.
        • An Open Letter to SHG Players
          W Womack -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 6:41 p.m.
          • An Open Letter to SHG Players
            Frank_N_Stein -- Wednesday, 21 October 2009, at 3:11 a.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 5:40 a.m.
      • An Open Letter to SHG Players
        W Womack -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 2:44 p.m.
  • SHG Upgrading BG to 3.0.35 tomorrow morning
    Michael Petch -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 6:20 a.m.
    • SHG Upgrading BG to 3.0.35 tomorrow morning
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 2:25 p.m.
  • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 2:38 p.m.
    • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
      Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 8:27 p.m.
      • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 20 October 2009, at 9:48 p.m.
        • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
          Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 21 October 2009, at 4:36 p.m.
    • Old story - Cribbage
      Michael Petch -- Wednesday, 21 October 2009, at 7:21 a.m.
    • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
      Phil Simborg -- Wednesday, 21 October 2009, at 4:23 p.m.
    • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 21 October 2009, at 7:02 p.m.
    • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
      J. Dawkins -- Monday, 26 October 2009, at 8:56 p.m.
      • Old story, but maybe worth repeating
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 9:59 p.m.
      • 3-away 7-away cube action
        Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:37 a.m.
        • I'm going to repeat this subject line until I get it right *NM*
          Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 1:07 a.m.
  • An Open Letter to SHG Players
    Caryl Stephanson -- Monday, 26 October 2009, at 7:45 p.m.
    • An Open Letter to SHG Players
      Michael Petch -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 8:43 a.m.
      • An Open Letter to SHG Players
        Caryl Stephanson -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 7:21 p.m.