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Post-joker Recube - Rollout
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Post-joker Recube (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Monday, 19 October 2009, at 5:29 p.m.
Thank you Martin, John, Timothy and Matt for your responses in favor of both taking and passing. Either decision is fine, says Deitybot.
Unlimited Match. Blue on Roll, Cube Decsion?
White 30
Blue 30 Position ID: 2zYAADAABgAAAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA
• Blue doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5475 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9997 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0003 3. No double +0.8162 -0.1835 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.7737 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2263 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5475 +0.8162 Standard error 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0002 0.0004 Player White owns 4-cube 0.7730 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2270 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0920 +0.9997 Standard error 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0005 0.0006 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 7776 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871574547 and quasi-random dice Play: grandmaster 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0.04 Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Annotation
Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5455
0.7727 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2273 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9555
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0445)
3. No double +0.7962 ( -0.1593)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take
Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.5646
0.7823 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2177 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9967
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0033)
3. No double +0.8210 ( -0.1756)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take
Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.5513
0.7756 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2244 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9886
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0114)
3. No double +0.8146 ( -0.1740)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take
Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5470
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9999
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0001)
3. No double +0.8160 ( -0.1839)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take
Rollout details:
Player Blue owns 2-cube:
0.7735 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2265 0.0000 0.0000 CL +0.5470 CF +0.8160
[0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 CL 0.0003 CF 0.0006]
Player White owns 4-cube:
0.7730 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2270 0.0000 0.0000 CL +1.0919 CF +0.9999
[0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 CL 0.0007 CF 0.0010]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
7776 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 871574547 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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