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I lost a C-note to MCG on this bet

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 10 December 2009, at 2:11 p.m.

In Response To: I lost a C-note to MCG on this bet (neilkaz)

My OTB estimate is that the trailer's cube-adjusted takepoint ATS is 17%. Can he win it this often? I think so. 4 men off vs. a closed board with perfect distribution wins around 16% and White doesn't rate to come in perfectly so it looks like a close take to me.

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