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Re: Well done..

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 20 May 2007, at 9:06 p.m.

In Response To: Well done.. (neilkaz)

Stick's rollout is with the correct score 0-1/19. It looks like Chuck's is with the score 0-0/19. So ... (I assume all evals and rollouts are with G11 MET):

Bot analysisMoney equityND equityDT equityDifference
2-ply evaluation (0-1/19)0.35770.53130.4875-0.0438
3-ply evaluation (0-1/19)0.40960.60560.6000-0.0056
Stick's rollout (0-1/19)0.40550.65600.6434-0.0126
2-ply evaluation (0-0/19)0.35770.53170.4859-0.0458
3-ply evaluation (0-0/19)0.40960.60630.5995-0.0068
Chuck's rollout (0-0/190.42200.66930.6590-0.0103

So ... the 2- and 3-ply evaluations both underestimate the strength of Joe's position (although Stick's rollout's money equity is actually lower than 3-ply's estimate, the difference isn't statistically significant) but 3-ply evaluations are closer to the rollout results.

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