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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: OLM Sun. May 20th (Stick)
Date: Monday, 21 May 2007, at 9:35 a.m.
Pretty huge on both ends of the spectrum. Must double, must take. I think everyone properly assessed the position so I won't waste your time stating what you already knew. Not sure if anyone mentioned the duplication of small #s for me & your made 5 pt. alone is huge...yada yada yada
The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 0, Readers 0 (match to 15 points)
Move number 8: Stick on roll, cube decision?
Stick 147
Readers 169 Position ID: aDfwADSYu8EBFA Match ID: MAHgAQAAAAAA
• Stick doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5231 (Money: +0.5144) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.8120 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1880 3. No double +0.7392 -0.0728 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6528 0.2672 0.0245 - 0.3472 0.0792 0.0036 +0.5231 +0.7392 Standard error 0.0041 0.0042 0.0030 - 0.0041 0.0023 0.0005 0.0117 0.0312 Player Readers owns 2-cube 0.6584 0.2696 0.0294 - 0.3416 0.0784 0.0052 +1.1041 +0.8120 Standard error 0.0053 0.0064 0.0052 - 0.0053 0.0027 0.0016 0.0384 0.0594 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1065044060 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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