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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 2 January 2010, at 9:05 p.m.

In Response To: Containment checker play, take 2 (Timothy Chow)

I post the rollouts (money first, then DMP) here for completeness, though I think they don't add much to the excellent comments by Stick and Nack.

gnubg	76
tchow	101
Position ID: 2+4GAEDbNoiSAA Match ID: UQkLAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	16/10 14/12	+0.568
			0.669 0.012 0.000 - 0.331 0.061 0.001 +0.288 +0.568 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840300034 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	18/12 14/12	+0.547 ( -0.020)
			0.661 0.011 0.000 - 0.339 0.080 0.001 +0.253 +0.547 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840300034 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	18/10	+0.497 ( -0.070)
			0.634 0.011 0.000 - 0.366 0.052 0.001 +0.226 +0.497 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840300034 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	16/10 13/11	+0.440 ( -0.128)
			0.636 0.012 0.000 - 0.364 0.101 0.002 +0.183 +0.440 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840300034 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, tchow 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

gnubg	76
tchow	101
Position ID: 2+4GAEDbNoiSAA Match ID: UQkrAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	16/10 14/12	+0.350
			0.675 0.071 0.000 - 0.325 0.094 0.000 +0.350 +0.350 0.001 0.004 0.000 - 0.001 0.004 0.000 0.002 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840547317 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	18/12 14/12	+0.320 ( -0.029)
			0.660 0.071 0.000 - 0.340 0.100 0.000 +0.320 +0.320 0.001 0.005 0.000 - 0.001 0.004 0.006 0.002 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840547317 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	18/10	+0.282 ( -0.068)
			0.641 0.062 0.000 - 0.359 0.092 0.001 +0.282 +0.282 0.001 0.004 0.000 - 0.001 0.005 0.000 0.002 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840547317 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	16/10 13/11	+0.271 ( -0.079)
			0.636 0.060 0.000 - 0.364 0.125 0.000 +0.271 +0.271 0.001 0.004 0.000 - 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.002 0.002
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840547317 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Containment checker play, take 2
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 2:40 a.m.
  • Containment checker play, take 2
    Stick -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 2:48 a.m.
    • Containment checker play, take 2
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 30 December 2009, at 4:27 a.m.
  • Addendum
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 2:50 a.m.
    • Addendum
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 3:41 a.m.
      • Addendum
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 3:40 p.m.
  • Containment checker play, take 2
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 2:12 p.m.
    • Containment checker play, take 2
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 3:51 p.m.
      • Containment checker play, take 2
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 4:30 p.m.
        • The slotting option
          Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 30 December 2009, at 2:30 a.m.
          • The slotting option
            Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 30 December 2009, at 5:16 p.m.
            • The slotting option
              Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 30 December 2009, at 6:15 p.m.
      • Containment checker play, take 2
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 30 December 2009, at 6:33 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 January 2010, at 9:05 p.m.