Opening 43, 4 ply XG RO completed
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: Opening 43, 4 ply XG RO completed (neilkaz)
Date: Friday, 8 January 2010, at 4:44 p.m.
In Response To: Opening 43, 4 ply XG RO completed (neilkaz)
Leonardo: Hm, 24-20 13-10 wins most games afterall, nice info
Neil: Clearly more accurate is to look at RO's played at DMP and the long one posted at this site for GNU is close.
Nack: Yep, Chris Yep had a hand in that rollout.
Opening 43: d[Z U2.3 D4.4 S5.1] 46k 28kS
In other words, all four plays are very close at DMP, with Z edging out U, and S being -.0051.
Chris also rolled it at GS:
Opening 43: s[Z S1.8 U5.9 D10.4] 31k 15kD
Last June or July, David Rockwell rolled 43 at GS with supremo, but only 5k (not sure if that was extended -- too far behind on my e-mail at the moment, lol). Averaging in the 5k I know would make it [Z S2.7 U6.3 D10.3] 36k 20kD.
The best score at which to play 43S is GS. If Opp plays all the proper GG responses to S and Z except he misplays 43S-61P (knee-jerkingly making the 7pt instead of hitting), it turns 43S from the current best-guess .0027 loser into a .0009 winner.
At DMP and GS, against most players I open with 43U for the surprise value (i.e., to induce the most reply errors), and so far it has gained equity.
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