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.... and Stepped Rollout

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Wednesday, 23 May 2007, at 9:08 a.m.

In Response To: *** GNUbg 2/2 ply rollout *** (Mislav Radica)

Mislav asked me to start this one because he wasn't sure of his results. From either rollout, Gnubg clearly thinks this is a big take. Note that full Gnubg 2-ply apparently plays this game better for Blue, making the take larger than my stepped rollout shows.

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5979(Money: +0.6030)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8635
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1365
3.No double +0.7909 -0.0726
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube 67.08% 29.79% 3.05%- 32.92% 6.40% 0.29% +0.5979 +0.7909
Standard error 0.17% 0.21% 0.16%- 0.17% 0.09% 0.03% 0.0054 0.0136
Player FeelingBlue owns 2-cube 67.18% 30.49% 3.58%- 32.82% 6.24% 0.33% +1.2109 +0.8635
Standard error 0.23% 0.27% 0.22%- 0.23% 0.12% 0.04% 0.0148 0.0201
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1476 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1064877781 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 12 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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