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Another one bites the dust

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 7:22 p.m.

In Response To: Random 22 (Stick)

Another problem where nobody got the answer right! And can you hear it now, wait for it, wait for it, yes folks, that's NeilKaz saying "where the hell is the play I chose!?" I rolled it out also, 5k trials, but when clicking back and forth I accidentally removed checkers from the board so it was not able to be saved. I did however see the results and your choice was in second place being back .010 of the stodge play that wins the rollout.

The best plays don't leave another blot floating around while you're likely to be attacked next turn. The best play also makes your next best home board point while doing so so that when and if you get attacked in the near future your position will have more bite to it. As shown, I doubt anyone could stomach this play OtB stacking 7 checkers on the 6pt when there are other reasonable alternatives.





is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 137
7 point match
pip: 139
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=---aBBD-B---cC---dbe-B----:0:0:-1:22:1:2:0:7:8
to play 22

1.Rollout18/6(2) 7/5(2)eq: -0.562
Player:
Opponent:		 38.67% (G:8.40% B:0.46%)
61.33% (G:19.07% B:0.49%)		Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.571...-0.553)
Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes 52 seconds
2.Rollout113/11(3) 8/6eq: -0.587 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		 37.81% (G:7.33% B:0.43%)
62.19% (G:18.20% B:0.40%)		Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.596...-0.578)
Duration: 1 hour 29 minutes 46 seconds
3.Rollout213/11 8/6 7/5(2)eq: -0.614 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		 37.71% (G:8.95% B:0.69%)
62.29% (G:21.62% B:0.74%)		Conf: ± 0.017 (-0.631...-0.597)
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes 20 seconds
4.Rollout313/9(2)eq: -0.674 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		 37.12% (G:7.63% B:0.61%)
62.88% (G:22.85% B:0.73%)		Conf: ± 0.026 (-0.700...-0.648)
Duration: 10 minutes 06 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

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