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XG RO with 4 ply cube

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 4:18 p.m.

In Response To: Money game cube action (Timothy Chow)

Here's a RO that will make fewer bad takes later on, although I suspect that there are still a few bad takes creeping in and raising the equity of the ND side here. My suspicion is that this position is a clear cube and likely by at least .030.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 150 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 128 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=----abEBCB---BbbAb-cab----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	72.92% (G: 8.07% B: 0.25%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.08% (G: 3.79% B: 0.14%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.46% (G: 8.30% B: 0.28%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.54% (G: 3.82% B: 0.15%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.458
Double:	+1.031
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.827 (-0.028)
Double/Take:	+0.855
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.145)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.007 (+0.820...+0.833)
Confidence Double:	± 0.010 (+0.845...+0.865)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12

Messages In This Thread

• Money game cube action
  Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 January 2010, at 7:43 p.m.
  • Money game cube action
    Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 18 January 2010, at 8:16 p.m.
    • Money game cube action
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 January 2010, at 8:32 p.m.
  • Money game cube action
    Stick -- Monday, 18 January 2010, at 9:02 p.m.
    • Money game cube action
      Petter Bengtsson -- Monday, 18 January 2010, at 9:23 p.m.
    • Money game cube action
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 18 January 2010, at 10:00 p.m.
  • Money game cube action
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 19 January 2010, at 4:55 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 2:09 a.m.
    • XG Rollout
      Petter Bengtsson -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 2:27 a.m.
    • Rollout -- another
      Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 22 January 2010, at 1:56 a.m.
  • Here's what's wrong with the RO's posted so far.
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 4:16 p.m.
    • Layered rollouts
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 5:02 p.m.
      • Holding game 54 payoffs
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 8:31 p.m.
        • Holding game 54 payoffs
          Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 9:47 p.m.
    • Here's what's wrong with the RO's posted so far.
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 10:26 p.m.
  • XG RO with 4 ply cube
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 4:18 p.m.
    • Very instructive, Neil and Nack! Thanks! *NM*
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 20 January 2010, at 10:21 p.m.