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Vegas Pay Now or Later?

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 29 May 2007, at 4:48 a.m.

In Response To: Vegas Pay Now or Later? (Stick)

This is pretty tricky. For money, paying later must be better than leaving 17 immediate winners. But the match score argues heavily for paying now. White isn't able to cube immediately, so he can only cube after he hits, which is very inefficient and only gets him to 2-3 (gain of about 7% MWC). However, if he is hit, Blue will have between 3 and 5 return shots to win a gammon for the match. If missed, Blue can double for the match and White likely has a drop with the 6 point open, or at least a very unhappy take.

I'd play 13/4. Looking forward to BK here.

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