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Commentary #1

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 29 May 2007, at 4:55 a.m.

In Response To: Commentary #1 (Daniel Murphy)

Just that there are over 17k trials for 20/16 3/2 and only 432 for 20/15. Additionally the JSD on 20/15 is 0.01. So the equities may not be directly comparable.

I don't expect that extending the rollout would put 20/15 ahead of 20/16 3/2, that's clearly not the case. But it might reduce the margin to .07 or .06. Then again, it might increase the margin to .12. Stranger things have happened. I just find it hard to believe that 20/15 is really a full .09 behind 20/16 3/2.

Just an intuitive suggestion. No math or philosophizing was involved or applied in any way.

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