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BGonline.org Forums
Very nice, but just a tad conservative for raw pip counts
Posted By: Bob Koca In Response To: Very nice, but just a tad conservative for raw pip counts (Ian Shaw)
Date: Thursday, 4 February 2010, at 12:32 a.m.
"Timothy, Trice discusses the "one checker model" in the GV article "Cube Value" (Dec 2005). He states that, "the assumption of a single checker implies higher variance than what one generally finds in real positions, and as a result the model produces results that are just slightly optimistic for the trailer in the race."
The EPC of a single checker race is less than for a 15 checker position with the same pipcount. The race is thus nearer the end which wuold make the single checker values worse for the trailer. I am surprised to hear that another factor outweighs that consideration.
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