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Very nice, but just a tad conservative for raw pip counts

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Thursday, 4 February 2010, at 9:12 p.m.

In Response To: Very nice, but just a tad conservative for raw pip counts (David Rockwell)

I found one of the spreadsheets from my work on this subject done long ago. It says (for example) that the optimal placement of 67 pips for a bareoff has 13 checkers placed in the inner board as such:

6:4:2:1:0:0

If I did the work correctly, you can't find a better position with 67 pips that has more or fewer checkers.

I would lean towards using this position as the minimal wastage position of 67 pips rather than using a 15 checker position. I believe this allows the player to make the most natural adjustments for distribution when distribution adjustments must be made. Is that different than others are thinking or not? I would use 15 checkers for all pip counts equal to or greater than 76.

Obviously, we would need to break with a 15 checker model at some point prior to 15 pips.

Having said all of that, I believe that scientists usually collect the data first and construct the model afterwords. Perhaps that should be the preferred approach.

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