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BGonline.org Forums
Containmentl conundrum
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Containmentl conundrum (John Little)
Date: Tuesday, 29 May 2007, at 6:47 p.m.
The big effect here is the score. White's takepoint is around 27%, pretty far above the ~22% he would need to take for money. He'll also be holding a cube that's half dead, so Green doesn't really need to worry about it coming back to him too much. Green's takepoint on an 8 cube is 15%, so White probably won't redouble until he's all the way around the board, so he has a lot of work to do.
Still, this could be interesting to roll out. Bots often get these simple positions wrong, somehow. Might be a money cube as well--any ace loses the market, 21 and 22 are both blotty, he's got 25 dancing rolls, so only 25 and 26 are going to really hurt.
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